https://enpath.co/en/insights Applied research, advisory, and training for the responsible use of artificial intelligence in public and organizational decisions, with a public methodology and verifiable sources. en Wed, 05 Aug 2026 05:17:51 GMT https://enpath.co/en/insights/es/what-confidence-should-mean https://enpath.co/en/insights/es/what-confidence-should-mean Adjuntamos valores de confianza a las afirmaciones, así que le debemos al lector una definición: una confianza declarada es una promesa sobre frecuencia — de las afirmaciones que marcamos 0,86, unas 86 de cada 100 deberían resultar ciertas. Este es el estándar que exigimos a esos números, y de dónde viene. Nota Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://enpath.co/en/insights/what-confidence-should-mean https://enpath.co/en/insights/what-confidence-should-mean We attach confidence values to claims, so we owe readers a definition: a stated confidence is a promise about frequency — of the claims we mark 0.86, about 86 in 100 should turn out true. Here is the standard we hold those numbers to, and where it comes from. Note Wed, 01 Jul 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://enpath.co/en/insights/built-to-outlive-us https://enpath.co/en/insights/built-to-outlive-us Enpath is designed as an institution, not a startup — meant to be trusted long after the people who founded it are gone. Essay Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://enpath.co/en/insights/es/built-to-outlive-us https://enpath.co/en/insights/es/built-to-outlive-us Enpath está diseñada como una organización de largo plazo, no como una startup — para merecer confianza mucho después de quienes la fundaron. Ensayo Wed, 24 Jun 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://enpath.co/en/insights/es/good-judgment-should-not-be-a-privilege https://enpath.co/en/insights/es/good-judgment-should-not-be-a-privilege La capacidad analítica detrás de una decisión seria siempre ha sido de quienes podían pagarla. Esa es la desigualdad que queremos terminar. Ensayo Wed, 13 May 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://enpath.co/en/insights/good-judgment-should-not-be-a-privilege https://enpath.co/en/insights/good-judgment-should-not-be-a-privilege The analytical power behind a serious decision has always belonged to those who could afford it. That is the inequality we want to end. Essay Wed, 13 May 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://enpath.co/en/insights/es/the-future-is-chosen https://enpath.co/en/insights/es/the-future-is-chosen El mundo al que llegamos no es algo que nos ocurre. Es la suma de decisiones — y las decisiones se pueden tomar con más criterio. Ensayo Wed, 15 Apr 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://enpath.co/en/insights/the-future-is-chosen https://enpath.co/en/insights/the-future-is-chosen The world we end up in is not something that happens to us. It is the sum of decisions — and decisions can be made more thoughtfully. Essay Wed, 15 Apr 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://enpath.co/en/insights/es/trust-is-the-scarce-resource https://enpath.co/en/insights/es/trust-is-the-scarce-resource Cuando cualquier máquina puede dar una respuesta segura, una respuesta segura deja de valer mucho. Esto es lo que pasa a ser valioso. Ensayo Wed, 18 Mar 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://enpath.co/en/insights/trust-is-the-scarce-resource https://enpath.co/en/insights/trust-is-the-scarce-resource When any machine can give a confident answer, a confident answer stops being worth much. Here is what becomes valuable instead. Essay Wed, 18 Mar 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://enpath.co/en/insights/augment-never-abdicate https://enpath.co/en/insights/augment-never-abdicate How to build AI that widens what a person can consider, then steps back — instead of quietly making the decision for them. Essay Wed, 11 Feb 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://enpath.co/en/insights/es/augment-never-abdicate https://enpath.co/en/insights/es/augment-never-abdicate Cómo construir una IA que amplíe lo que una persona puede considerar y luego se aparte — en lugar de decidir por ella en silencio. Ensayo Wed, 11 Feb 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://enpath.co/en/insights/es/how-to-read-an-ai-answer https://enpath.co/en/insights/es/how-to-read-an-ai-answer Una disciplina breve y práctica para quien tiene que actuar sobre análisis generado por máquinas: cinco chequeos, dos minutos, antes de decidir. Nota Wed, 14 Jan 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://enpath.co/en/insights/how-to-read-an-ai-answer https://enpath.co/en/insights/how-to-read-an-ai-answer A short, practical discipline for anyone who has to act on machine-generated analysis: five checks, two minutes, before you decide. Note Wed, 14 Jan 2026 00:00:00 GMT https://enpath.co/en/insights/es/global-frameworks-local-decisions https://enpath.co/en/insights/es/global-frameworks-local-decisions El mundo es rico en marcos —objetivos de desarrollo, acuerdos climáticos, principios de gobernanza— y pobre en la capa de traducción que los convierte en una decisión que una ciudad pueda tomar de verdad. Ensayo Tue, 11 Nov 2025 00:00:00 GMT https://enpath.co/en/insights/global-frameworks-local-decisions https://enpath.co/en/insights/global-frameworks-local-decisions The world is rich in frameworks — development goals, climate agreements, governance principles — and poor in the translation layer that turns them into a decision a city can actually take. Essay Tue, 11 Nov 2025 00:00:00 GMT https://enpath.co/en/insights/es/procurement-is-a-decision-problem https://enpath.co/en/insights/es/procurement-is-a-decision-problem Los gobiernos gastan cerca de 13 billones de dólares al año en contratos públicos. Cada uno de esos contratos es una decisión — y la evidencia muestra que hacer esas decisiones inspeccionables cambia lo que le pasa al dinero. Investigación Tue, 16 Sep 2025 00:00:00 GMT https://enpath.co/en/insights/procurement-is-a-decision-problem https://enpath.co/en/insights/procurement-is-a-decision-problem Governments spend around 13 trillion dollars a year through public contracts. Every one of those contracts is a decision — and the evidence shows that making those decisions inspectable changes what happens to the money. Investigation Tue, 16 Sep 2025 00:00:00 GMT https://enpath.co/en/insights/early-warnings-are-decisions https://enpath.co/en/insights/early-warnings-are-decisions Forecasts have improved faster than the decisions they are supposed to trigger. The gap between a warning issued and an action taken is a decision problem — and it is where lives are actually saved or lost. Investigation Tue, 10 Jun 2025 00:00:00 GMT https://enpath.co/en/insights/es/early-warnings-are-decisions https://enpath.co/en/insights/es/early-warnings-are-decisions Los pronósticos han mejorado más rápido que las decisiones que deberían disparar. El espacio entre una alerta emitida y una acción tomada es un problema de decisión — y es donde de verdad se salvan o se pierden vidas. Investigación Tue, 10 Jun 2025 00:00:00 GMT https://enpath.co/en/insights/es/institutions-that-earn-trust https://enpath.co/en/insights/es/institutions-that-earn-trust En buena parte del mundo, desconfiar de las instituciones es la actitud racional por defecto. Los sistemas construidos para esa realidad —verificables por diseño, no dependientes de la buena voluntad— terminan siendo más confiables en todas partes. Ensayo Tue, 15 Apr 2025 00:00:00 GMT https://enpath.co/en/insights/institutions-that-earn-trust https://enpath.co/en/insights/institutions-that-earn-trust In much of the world, distrust of institutions is the rational default. Systems built for that reality — verifiable by design, not reliant on goodwill — end up more trustworthy everywhere. Essay Tue, 15 Apr 2025 00:00:00 GMT https://enpath.co/en/insights/deciding-without-data https://enpath.co/en/insights/deciding-without-data Much of the world governs without reliable data — missing censuses, unmeasured informal economies, indicators that simply do not exist. Honest decision tools must carry that silence, not paper over it. Investigation Tue, 18 Feb 2025 00:00:00 GMT https://enpath.co/en/insights/es/deciding-without-data https://enpath.co/en/insights/es/deciding-without-data Buena parte del mundo se gobierna sin datos confiables — censos ausentes, economías informales sin medir, indicadores que sencillamente no existen. Una herramienta de decisión honesta debe cargar ese silencio, no taparlo. Investigación Tue, 18 Feb 2025 00:00:00 GMT https://enpath.co/en/insights/es/the-confident-answer-problem https://enpath.co/en/insights/es/the-confident-answer-problem Los modelos de lenguaje suenan igual de seguros cuando aciertan y cuando se equivocan. La investigación publicada sobre alucinación y calibración muestra por qué la seguridad es la señal equivocada — y qué pedir en su lugar. Investigación Tue, 12 Nov 2024 00:00:00 GMT https://enpath.co/en/insights/the-confident-answer-problem https://enpath.co/en/insights/the-confident-answer-problem Language models sound equally sure when they are right and when they are wrong. The published research on hallucination and calibration shows why confidence is the wrong signal to trust — and what to ask for instead. Investigation Tue, 12 Nov 2024 00:00:00 GMT https://enpath.co/en/insights/es/what-we-mean-by-decision-intelligence https://enpath.co/en/insights/es/what-we-mean-by-decision-intelligence Una definición breve del término que más usamos — y cómo se diferencia de la analítica, los tableros y la IA que solo responde preguntas. Nota Tue, 17 Sep 2024 00:00:00 GMT https://enpath.co/en/insights/what-we-mean-by-decision-intelligence https://enpath.co/en/insights/what-we-mean-by-decision-intelligence A short definition of the term we use most — and how it differs from analytics, dashboards, and AI that simply answers questions. Note Tue, 17 Sep 2024 00:00:00 GMT https://enpath.co/en/insights/es/seven-questions https://enpath.co/en/insights/es/seven-questions Una prueba simple y pública para saber si una recomendación merece que se actúe sobre ella — y por qué la aplicamos primero a nuestro propio trabajo. El Estándar Tue, 11 Jun 2024 00:00:00 GMT https://enpath.co/en/insights/seven-questions https://enpath.co/en/insights/seven-questions A simple, public test for whether a recommendation is trustworthy enough to act on — and why we hold our own work to it first. The Standard Tue, 11 Jun 2024 00:00:00 GMT